Can You See Any Black Swan in Your Rear-view Mirror?

I am currently reading the fantastic "The Black Swan" by  Nassim Nicholas Taleb a narrative of the importance of the highly improbable events that influence our existence and change the history we believed to be predicted and to happen as planned. The Black Swans are the metaphor for things we don't know before we see them and we rarely tend to notice them as we are focused on looking back.

"Trying to predict the future based on research is like trying to drive a car by looking in the rear-view mirror."

                                                                                                                (Marshall McLuhan)

While being unexeptionally busy with looking back, we hit black swans and left surprised how could this happen.

I can see one good advice: look forward.



Photo by jcoterhals